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  • Writer's pictureEric

NFL Week 4 Player Props

Updated: Sep 30, 2022

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We're already near the quarter pole of this NFL season, and the data is beginning to pile up. Let's use it to our advantage to get paid!

Josh Allen Over 0.5 INT -124

The guy is a gunslinger, and this game could get crazy. I'd parlay both QBs if I could, but the books are anti-fun sometimes. Baltimore has six picks already this year, and we all saw the five chances Miami dropped last week.

Cooper Rush Over 1.5 Pass TD +114

Rush has thrown a touchdown in each of his two games, and that was against good pass defenses. This week, Dallas welcomes one of the worst in the Commandos. These bums have allowed 822 passing yards and EIGHT passing touchdowns already.

We also saw some chemistry with Lamb last week, encouraging stuff.

Rhamondre Stevenson Over 9.5 Carries -139 / At Least 12 Carries -108

What else do they have? To think Bill wouldn't give Stevenson at least three carries per quarter seems insane to me in a backup quarterback situation. Yes, Harris will get work as well but Rhamondre has gotten the rock 8, 9 and 12 times this season.

The Packers are last in rush defense DVOA, the Patriots are #1 in rush offense. I think Bill is probably aware of this disparity.

Travis Etienne Over 18.5 Rec Yds -114

Easily my favorite prop of the week, this number is a joke. Etienne's receiving yards game by game so far: 18-33-30. All we need are two since he averages 10 yards per reception. Philly's defense is solid, but they're like your mom, they give up the underneath stuff.

JD McKissic Over 23.5 Rec Yds -114 / Over 3.5 Receptions +127

We got both last week, back to the well with our guy to clear these insulting numbers!

His last two games: 7 catches on 7 targets for 54 yards & 6 catches on 9 targets for 32 yards. He's averaging about 6 yards per target, so theoretically, we only need four.

Josh Reynolds Over 50.5 Rec Yds -114 / Over 4.5 Receptions +118

The Sun God is missing this game and Chark isn't near 100% leaving our boy Josh Reynolds as a primary target for Goff.

He was a solid role player with the Rams, and I expect nothing less here.

I like the receptions total as well, Seattle allows a league-worst 8.4 yards per attempt, so that gets home easier most likely.

Austin Ekeler Over 60.5 Rush Yds -114

Taking a chance with Ekeler, he literally hasn't outperformed a roll of floss yet this season (floss is 48 yds customarily) but THIS IS THE WEEK.

The Houston Texans allow the second most yards per carry in the NFL at 5.6 and the most total rush yards thus far, allowing 607 on the ground.

Treylon Burks Touchdown +300

Woke up this morning, stepped outside, and suddenly realized...this is the week Treylon Burks scores his first NFL touchdown. I'm excited for him. Us, actually, because I'll have a wager on said touchdown.

Good luck in all your endeavors, gambling and otherwise, and thank you for your support of Patriot Sports!

4-5 last week, probably should chill on the pick parlays

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