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NFL Championship Round Props

We know what we're up against. This is Championship Sunday, which I don't have to tell you, is no time to fuck around. Let's get to it.

Kenneth Gainwell

Over 9.5 Rec Yards -110

The Eagles have the luxury of choosing how they attack on offense since both run and pass are highly effective. The 49ers have the top-run defense in the league, so it's likely we see a lot of pass attempts.

Gainwell had himself a game last week, going over 100 on the ground. Only 1 reception for 9 yards, but that was vs a bad run defense. Philly has a 69% pass rate vs top run defenses and Hurts' pass attempt total is 32.5 which indicates as much. One or two targets and our man has 10 receiving yards.

AJ Brown

Over 70.5 Rec Yds -130

Over 83.5 Rec Yds +108

The most effective way to beat San Francisco's defense on a given down is the deep ball. I think we've seen enough from AJB this season to understand he's an alpha in this regard. Yes, he had 22 yards last week, big deal. That's the likely reason we get a number in the 70s this week.

Prior to his divisional dud, Brown went for 181,103, 97, and 95 yards.

Brandon Aiyuk

Over 47.5 Rec Yds +100

Similar to Brown, Aiyuk had a disappointing divisional round, catching just 2 of his 4 targets for 26 yards. We can't have that with the Super Bowl on the line. He knows that.

Avonte Maddox is back, he was a full go in Friday's practice. It makes the Eagles pass defense overall better, but it also moves CJGJ out of the slot putting our man up against a corner in Maddox, who's coming off a hamstring and hasn't played since Christmas Eve.

Jerick McKinnon

Over 29.5 Rec Yds -110

We're all about bounce-back spots this week. McKinnon had zero targets last week, but that's an outlier based on his previous four games in which he eclipsed 30 yards mostly with ease. With a hobbled Mahomes in the backfield, McKinnon played 78% of snaps, likely based on his pass protection ability vs Pacheco.

With a quarterback who wants to get the ball out quickly, a proven pass-catching back can see significant targets.

Jalen Hurts

Over 21.5 Completions -115

Given the defense he's facing, it would be difficult for Philly to be in position to win this game if Hurts doesn't complete 25 passes. He hasn't gone over 21 a ton this season, only five times but I just can't see him going 19 of 30 or something like that in a game of this magnitude. Hurts is no stranger to the bright lights and he's much healthier than in recent weeks.

CJ Gardner-Johnson

Over 0.5 Interceptions +450

Again, with Maddox returning to the lineup we'll see CJGJ retreat to the safety position where most of his interceptions have come.

Purdy being a 7th-round rookie on the road is arguably the most likely QB to throw an interception, if not second in line and the statistics and status put CJGJ in a great position to be the one who sees the opportunity.

Brandon Graham

Over 0.5 Sacks +125

Hassan Reddick is playing his ass off, but we can't lay -167 that's crazy talk. Brandon Graham is an excellent candidate at plus money based on how many times Purdy has been sacked, and by whom.

It's rarely a defensive tackle who gets Brock Purdy to the ground, it's almost always a linebacker or defensive end. Daron Payne got him once, but other than that it's been players like JJ Watt, Micah Parsons, and Bruce Irvin.

Head To Head Most Rec Yds

Travis Kelce vs Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins +300

Travis Kelce hasn't had a ton of success against this Bengals team, he's gone over 56 yards just once and he's never had more than 5 receptions. Tee Higgins at +300 seems like a solid price to me.

Higgins has played KC twice, recording 35 and 62 yards.

49ers vs Eagles Longest TD

Over 39.5 Yds +100

Hurts has completed a ball of 40 or more yards in 9 different games this season including last week.

Bengals vs Chiefs

Both Teams Over 19.5 Pts -125

Both Teams Over 24.5 Pts +275

This is just looking at past performance. These teams and quarterbacks have played thrice in the past two years, and the scores of those games were 45-10, 34-31, and 27-24.

Check out our live stream on Sunday mornings at 7:30 CST to get in the conversation, let's find more winners! Thank you for your support of Patriot Sports and best of luck with your wagers and all your endeavors.

Look, there's no way to sugarcoat it, we got crushed last week going 2-12 by far our worst of the season. Let's hit some of these plus signs and bounce back nicely! That takes us to 130-147-3 on the season, still fiscally in the positive thanks to the plus signs.

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